Komentarze dzienne – IX ASSET MANAGEMENT S.A.

Oracle on fire ? Just +22% in two days !

15 czerwca, 2025Jarosław JamkaKomentarze dzienne

Safra Ada Catz, CEO & Director during the earnings conference: “So the Oracle database is on fire. And it is only the beginning (…).” After publishing solid financial results for Q4-2025, Oracle’s management surprised investors with a very positive guidance. As a result, Oracle’s share price rose by 22% in two days and is already...

Summer pain trade ? US Dollar !

8 czerwca, 2025Jarosław JamkaKomentarze dzienne

According to BofA’s Michael Hartnett: “Price & Positioning say long US dollar is summer pain trade, especially since „short dollar” is the top trade reco (recommendation) at Goldman, Morgan Stanley, DB and JPM.” One can only recall Bob Farrell’s rule 9: “When all the experts and forecasts agree – something else is going to happen.”...

¡No muy bueno!

3 czerwca, 2025Jarosław JamkaKomentarze dzienne

Trump’s approval rating refuses to rise any further and currently stands at 45.9% (according to Silver Bulletin). However, after a brief pause, US stocks are breaking out and it is possible that Trump’s approval rating will also continue to rise. See Figure 1. US stocks have been doing quite well since “Liberation Day,” especially the...

Nvidia – an AI beast ?

1 czerwca, 2025Jarosław JamkaKomentarze dzienne

As a reminder, Nvidia’s quarterly revenue for Q3 2022 (calendar basis) was less than $6 billion, or $5.93 billion to be exact! According to the company’s guidance, quarterly revenue in Q2 2025 (calendar basis) is to be $45 billion +/-2%! This is the definition of a beast! See Figure 1. Figure 2 shows the division...

Buy Humiliation ?

26 maja, 2025adminKomentarze dzienne

“Buy Humiliation, sell Hubris” – this approach was presented by BoA’s investment strategist Michael Hartnett in his latest report “The Flow Show”. What is Humiliation? Just long-end US Treasuries! Humiliation #1: total return since 31-Dec-2006: iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF: +67,2% iShares Euro Govt Bond ETF: +71,7% iShares Core S&P500 ETF: +481,5% Humiliation #2:...

Trump’s Approval Rating vs Stock Market

25 maja, 2025adminKomentarze dzienne

As expected, Trump finally helped the stock market enter a correction… however Nasdaq100 is still 6.8% above its level on April 2nd (Liberation Day), and was even 9.5% above that level a few days ago. The S&P500 is also above its level on April 2nd (+2.3%), which is higher than other major stock indices –...

Autor: Jarosław Jamka Tesla’s 1Q25 results were weak, but better than feared. Revenue fell 9.2% YoY in Q1 – see Figure 1. However, Tesla’s share price is up 21% since the results were released (13% better than the S&P500) – see Figure 2 and Table 1. The positives that the market will likely focus on...

Trump’s second 100 days: lower tariffs, lower rates, lower taxes!

3 maja, 2025adminKomentarze dzienne

Autor: Jarosław Jamka Investors can’t call the first 100 days of Trump’s presidency successful! Unless someone had an overweight gold … But what can we expect in the second 100 days? Michael Hartnett (Investment Strategist) from Bank of America: “(…) price action now unwinding significantly as investors anticipate Trump policy pivot in second 100 days...

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Oracle on fire ? Just +22% in two days !

Summer pain trade ? US Dollar !

¡No muy bueno!

Nvidia – an AI beast ?

Buy Humiliation ?

Trump’s Approval Rating vs Stock Market

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Komentarz poranny 07.05.2025

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Komentarz poranny 05.05.2025

Tesla update

Trump’s second 100 days: lower tariffs, lower rates, lower taxes!

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